General idea

Following the ISIPTA tradition, every paper and poster-abstract will be presented twice. First in a plenary session, and then in a discussion session. Plenary presentations are brief and are not followed by questions by the audience.
Questions and more detailed interactions are reserved for the discussion sessions, where authors will be available to discuss their paper or abstract with the help of electronic posters and any other supplementary material they might wish to use. Author instructions for the plenary and poster presentations are available in this link: Instructions.

Plenary presentations will be virtual, and are hosted by ResearchersOne. The discussion sessions will take place in the virtual space Gather.

Programme per day

Link to Google Calendar with Conference Program

UTC +2 UTC

All times in Central European Summer Time (UTC +2)

Tuesday 6 July
14:00	–	16:15	Opening & Session 1
16:15	–	16:30	Break
16:30	–	17:45	Keynote by Marco Zaffalon   Imprecise probability in causal-AI wonderland
17:45	–	18:00	Break
18:00	–	20:15	Session 2

Wednesday 7 July
14:00	–	16:15	Session 3
16:15	–	16:30	Break
16:30	–	17:45	Keynote by Elias Bareinboim
17:45	–	18:00	Break
18:00	–	20:15	Session 4

Thursday 8 July
14:00	–	16:15	Session 5
16:15	–	16:30	Break
16:30	–	17:45	Keynote by Lars Peter Hansen   Uncertainty Spillovers for Markets and Policy
17:45	–	18:00	Break
18:00	–	20:15	Session 6

Friday 9 July
14:00	–	16:15	Session 7
16:15	–	16:30	Break
16:30	–	17:45	SIPTA Meeting
17:45	–	18:00	Break
18:00	–	19:00	Awards and closing

Contributions per session

Session 1

Plenary: 14:00 - 16:15 Chair: Ryan Martin

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• Alexander Erreygers and Jasper De Bock
  Extending the Domain of Imprecise Jump Processes From Simple Variables to Measurable Ones

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• Serafín Moral-García and Joaquín Abellán
  Basic Probability Assignments Representable via Belief Intervals for Singletons in Dempster-Shafer Theory

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• Paolo Baldi and Hykel Hosni
  Logical Approximations of Qualitative Probability

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• Alessio Benavoli, Alessandro Facchini and Marco Zaffalon
  Quantum Indistinguishability Through Exchangeable Desirable Gambles

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• Arthur Van Camp, Kevin Blackwell and Jason Konek
  Independent Natural Extension for Choice Functions

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• Tathagata Basu, Matthias Troffaes and Jochen Einbeck
  Bayesian Adaptive Selection under Prior Ignorance

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• Masad Alrasheedi, Tahani Coolen-Maturi and Frank Coolen
  Constructing Classification Trees with NPI-based Thresholds for Continuous Attributes

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• Renato Pelessoni and Paolo Vicig
  Jensen-Like Inequalities for Imprecise Previsions

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• Julian Rodemann and Thomas Augustin
  Accounting for Imprecision of Model Specification in Bayesian Optimization

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Session 2

Plenary: 18:00 - 20:15 Chair: Matthias Troffaes

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• Esther Anna Corsi, Tommaso Flaminio and Hykel Hosni
  When Belief Functions and Lower Probabilities are Indistinguishable

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• Rafael Cabañas and Alessandro Antonucci
  CREPO: An Open Repository to Benchmark Credal Network Algorithm

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• Catrin Campbell-Moore
  Probability Filters as a Model of Belief

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• Nicholas Syring and Ryan Martin
  Stochastic Optimization for Numerical Evaluation of Imprecise Probabilities

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• Gert de Cooman and Jasper De Bock
  Randomness and Imprecision: A Discussion of Recent Results

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• Glauber de Bona, Victor Hugo Nascimento Rocha and Fabio Cozman
  Epistemic Argumentation with Conditional Probabilities and Labeling Constraints

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• Pierre E. Jacob, Ruobin Gong, Paul T. Edlefsen and Arthur P. Dempster
  A Gibbs Sampler for a Class of Random Convex Polytopes

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• Serafín Moral, Andrés Cano, Manuel Gómez-Olmedo
  Hierarchical Probability Intervals

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• Marshall Abrams
  Time Scale Relativity of Objective Imprecise Probability

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Session 3

Plenary: 14:00 - 16:15 Chair: Alexander Erreygers

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• Marc Fischer and Alexis Vignes
  An Imprecise Bayesian Approach to Thermal Runaway Probability

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• Arianna Casanova, Alessio Benavoli and Marco Zaffalon
  Nonlinear Desirability as a Linear Classification Problem

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• Nawapon Nakharutai and Matthias Troffaes
  Improving Algorithms for Decision Making with the Hurwicz Criterion

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• Patrick Michael Schwaferts and Thomas Augustin
  Imprecise Hypothesis-Based Bayesian Decision Making with Composite Hypotheses

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• Floris Persiau, Jasper De Bock and Gert de Cooman
  A Remarkable Equivalence between Non-Stationary Precise and Stationary Imprecise Uncertainty Models in Computable Randomness

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• Andrey G. Bronevich and Igor N. Rozenberg
  Generalized Hartley Measures on Credal Sets

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• Max Nendel
  Wasserstein Perturbations of Markovian Transition Probabilities

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• Thomas Fetz
  Computing Upper Probabilities Using Global Optimization Algorithms Together With Importance Sampling Techniques

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• Tijn Centen, Cassio de Campos, Thomas Krak and Erik Quaeghebeur
  Beyond Tree-Shaped Credal Sum-Product Networks

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Session 4

Plenary: 18:00 - 20:15 Chair: Davide Petturiti

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• Serena Doria
  Credal Sets of Coherent Conditional Probabilities defined by Hausdorff Measures

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• Juerg Kohlas, Arianna Casanova and Marco Zaffalon
  Information Algebras of Coherent Sets of Gambles in General Possibility Spaces

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• Jasper De Bock and Natan T'Joens
  Average Behaviour of Imprecise Markov Chains: A Single Pointwise Ergodic Theorem for Six Different Models

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• Marco De Angelis, Roberto Rocchetta, Ander Gray and Scott Ferson
  Constructing Consonant Predictive Beliefs from Data with Scenario Theory

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• Leonardo Cella and Ryan Martin
  Valid Inferential Models for Prediction in Supervised Learning Problems

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• Ruobin Gong, Joseph B. Kadane, Mark J. Schervish and Teddy Seidenfeld
  Total Evidence and Learning with Imprecise Probabilities

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• Christoph Jansen, Georg Schollmeyer and Thomas Augustin
  Elicitation of Preference Systems: Two Procedures and their Application to Decision Making under Severe Uncertainty

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• Pablo Ramsés Alonso Martín, Ignacio Montes and Enrique Miranda
  Distortion Models for the Probability of Rare Events: an Application on Human Reliability

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• Aaditya Ramdas, Johannes Ruf, Martin Larsson and Wouter Koolen
  How Can One Test if a Binary Sequence is Exchangeable?

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Session 5

Plenary: 14:00 - 16:15 Chair: Nawapon Nakharutai

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• Sébastien Destercke, Ignacio Montes and Enrique Miranda
  Processing Multiple Distortion Models: a Comparative Study

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• Dominik Hose and Michael Hanss
  A Recursive Formulation of Possibilistic Filters

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• Alberto Termine, Alessandro Antonucci, Alessandro Facchini and Giuseppe Primiero
  Robust Model Checking with Imprecise Markov Reward Models

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• Davide Petturiti and Barbara Vantaggi
  Betting Schemes for Assessing Coherent Numerical and Comparative Conditional Possibilities

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• Benjamin Quost
  Decision-Making from Partial Instances by Active Feature Querying

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• Antoine Ajenjo, Emmanuel Ardillon, Vincent Chabridon, Scott Cogan and Emeline Sadoulet-Reboul
  An Info-Gap Framework for Comparing Epistemic Uncertainty Models in Hybrid Structural Reliability Analysis

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• Marc Fischer
  On the Principal Principle and Imprecise Subjective Bayesianism

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• Abdulmajeed Alharbi, Frank P. A. Coolen and Tahani Coolen-Maturi
  Direct Nonparametric Predictive Inference Classification Trees

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• Keano De Vos, Gert de Cooman, Jasper De Bock, Natan T'Joens and Alexander Erreygers
  Modelling Uncertainty in Quantum Mechanics using Imprecise Probabilities

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Session 6

Plenary: 18:00 - 20:15 Chair: Fabio Cozman

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• Serafín Moral-García, Javier García Castellano, Carlos J. Mantas Ruiz and Joaquín Abellán
  Using Credal C4.5 for Calibrated Label Ranking in Multi-Label Classification

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• Yonatan Carlos Carranza Alarcón and Sébastien Destercke
  Distributionally Robust, Skeptical Binary Inferences in Multi-Label Problems

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• Gregory Wheeler
  Discounting Desirable Gambles

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• Rupert Freeman, David Pennock, Daniel Reeves, David Rothschild and Bo Waggoner
  Towards a Theory of Confidence in Market-Based Predictions

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• Georg Schollmeyer
  Computing Simple Bounds for Regression Estimates for Linear Regression with Interval-valued Covariates

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• Ignacio Montes
  On the Comonotone Natural Extension of Marginal p-Boxes

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• Giacomo Molinari
  An Accuracy Argument for Coherent Lower Previsions

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• Michele Caprio and Ruobin Gong
  Dynamic Imprecise Probability Kinematics

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• Arne Decadt
  Decide Quicker with Total Choice Functions

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Session 7

Plenary: 14:00 - 16:15 Chair: Sébastien Destercke

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• Love Ekenberg and Mats Danielson
  Probabilistic Risk Management in Project Portfolios

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• Haifei Zhang, Benjamin Quost and Marie-Hélène Masson
  Cautious Random Forests: a new Decision Strategy and some Experiment

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• Marco Zaffalon and Enrique Miranda
  The Sure Thing

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• Dominik Kreiss, Georg Schollmeyer and Thomas Augustin
  Towards Improving Electoral Forecasting by Including Undecided Voters and Interval-Valued Prior Knowledge

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• Natan T'Joens and Jasper De Bock
  Global Upper Expectations for Discrete-Time Stochastic Processes: In Practice, They Are All The Same!

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• Ander Gray, Dominik Hose, Marco De Angelis, Michael Hanss and Scott Ferson
  Dependent Possibilistic Arithmetic using Copulas

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• Thomas Krak
  An Efficient Lower Transition Rate Operator for the Sensitivity Analysis of Continuous-Time Markov Chains

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• Fernando Reche, María Morales and Antonio Salmeron
  Measuring Dispersion and Concordance of Real-valued Functions With Respect To Fuzzy Measures

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• Tathagata Basu, Matthias Troffaes and Jochen Einbeck
  Robust Bayesian Causal Inference for High-Dimensional Problems

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